All eyes on the Economic Symposium which is held at Jackson Hole and attended by central bankers, finance ministers, academics, and financial market participants from around the world. Comments and speeches from central bankers and other influential officials can create significant market volatility. We will watch for some rapid market reactions, hence trade carefully as Federal Reserve Chair Jannet Yellen is set to speak around . As head of the Fed, which controls short term interest rates, she has more influence over the U.S. dollar’s value than any other person. Traders closely watch her speeches as they are often used to drop hints regarding future monetary policy.
Her comments may determine a short-term positive or negative trend.
Schooled in economic thinking that confines monetary policy to the short run, central bankers gathering in Jackson Hole, Wyoming, are grappling with a singular change: whether they can take over as guardians of long-term growth with programs that may stay in place and influence markets for decades to come.
Intraday ES:240m FL OB, 60m Bull, VV AD = a strong 2.48
Daily Trend BearRev: The net trend should be sideways to down over the next few trading days
Weekly Trend Bear: A multi-week high is overdue.
$ES_F 60 Minutes Chart
Conclusion: With VV AD and 60m Bull expecting move up to black 2 or B
There were four markets with 8 daily DTosc BearRevs in the upper ½ of their oscillators ranges yesterday: $IWF, $XLV, $TJX, $HD, these are all shorting candidates with a trade below yesterday’s lows – Check Room for Details.
Initial 5 minutes Charts were Pointing UP – Start of the day posted on our Facebook Page Group and Chat ROOM
Worth Noting that a trader in our premium room has spotted a large size buy order in $SPY calls, hence the prediction of a market will rally to 219. A few Calls were bought yesterday (Thursday August 25, 2016) in room with stop at yesterdays Low, target will be taken at Today’s Spike – THIS WAS A SHORT TERM TRADE, which looks like will be a 100% winner this morning at the time of writing this post.
Investors are waiting ahead to Jackson Hole and Yellen’s comments to provide clarity on the direction for the Rates. Janet Yellen is set to speak at 10 a.m. EST, and stock market will likely to remain in choppy mode, so as of now here is the look at the market from our point of view:
Weekly Bear: A multi-week high is overdue.
Daily Trend Bear Reversal: A multi-day, if not multi-week high should be near completion, if not complete yesterday. However, the ES daily DTosc there was a Daily BearRev yesterday
With the weekly Momentum indicators being Over Bought for the past four week, which is extreme and now the Daily momentum having a BearRev from yesterday, the Daily time frame should be Bear at least 2-3 days with perhaps a weekly top in.
Of course this must be tempered with tomorrows speech, however, this is the current technical position
ES Intraday ES: 240m OS, 60m Bull, VV AD =.95 neutral to slightly Bear
Conclusion the recent 60 minute chart shows a bounce is coming in the 2164-66 area…( Note we previously pointed out this bounce in Chat ROOM)
By U.S. stock futures dropped on Thursday, with investors staying cautious as the closely watched summit of central bankers in Jackson Hole got ready to kick off. Federal Reserve Chairwoman Janet Yellen isn’t speaking at the meeting until Friday, but financial markets have been lackluster all week in anticipation of what she might say about the path of interest rates.
Today we took $WMT a short position (trade), please note trade setup on the following 4 hours 30, 15 minute charts and Daily Chart for a longer time setup, they triggered the short play and we have put the trade information in chat room
Market Watching for Federal Reserve Chair Janet Yellen to speak at Kansas City Fed’s monetary policy symposium, in Jackson Hole, Wyoming.
$ES_F Intraday: 240 Bear,60 OS, 15m B ear VV AD .50 Bear – still in the Camp of sideways to net down for day.
$ES_F Daily Chart
Monday: FILM Box Office
Tuesday: New Home Sales – BEST BUY REPORTS
Wednesday: Existing Home Sales – HP REPORTS
Thursday: Durable Goods and Jobless Claims – MEDTRONIC, Dollar General, Dollar Tree Reports
Friday: GDP and Consumer Sentiment
#Crude Oil showing us a good trade setup ($USO Trade)
By The pound moved sharply lower on Friday afternoon after Bloomberg News reported that U.K. Prime Minister Theresa May is likely to invoke the Article 50 in early 2017. Triggering the article marks the start of formal negotiations with Brussels over the U.K.’s exit from the European Union and the decision cannot be revoked.
Market so far looking flat this morning post the FOMC meeting. $SPY (New (Bear ETF) SH or SPY): Long on a close of 38.20 or higher. Placing the initial protective sell-stop at 37.78, one tick below the 8/15 low. Dollar (New Rec: UUP): Long on a close above 24.58. Place the initial protective sell-stop at 24.42, one tick below yesterday’s low.
Despite a modest bounce in Philly Fed headline data – thanks purely to a jump in ‘hope’ from 33.7 to 45.8 (the highest in 18 months) – the underlying components of the Philly fed survey are a disaster. New orders collapsed, employment crashed to 7 year lows, Average workweek plunged, prices paid soared, and inventories fell.
We hate to keep repeating ourselves (the dog and I) but it is what it is. The below are momentum positions so keep that in mind.
Weekly Trend Bear: A multi-week high should be at or near completion.Daily Trend Bear: The net trend should be sideways to down over the next few trading
days.
$ES_F 60 minutes Chart
Intraday Es: 240m FL OB, 60m OS (should have BullRev next Bar), 15m Bull so sync up for 1st 15m bar trade..VV AD1.182 Bullish.
In the latest quiet trading session, European shares rose while Asian stocks fell and S&P futures were little changed. Minutes of the Fed’s last meeting damped prospects for a U.S. interest-rate hike, sending the Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index doen 0.3%, approaching a three-month low.
Today’s Economic Calendar
8:30 Initial Jobless Claims
8:30 Philly Fed Business Outlook
9:45 Bloomberg Consumer Comfort Index
10:00 Fed’s Dudley Speech
10:00 Leading Indicators
10:30 EIA Natural Gas Inventory
4:00 PM Fed’s Williams: Economic Outlook
4:30 PM Money Supply
4:30 PM Fed Balance Sheet
Two trade alerts we will be following today. $PPG and $MCD trades triggered short yesterday – Check Room for Details.
