SPX/AMZN

Below 2713 still can the market subdivide lower in strong manner toward 2602.5 (link) and we don’t pretend to squeeze the 2590 level, knowing Joel has a target for Net$ Value at 2603.  We gave the benefit of the doubt to this market at the highs, won’t give it at the potential lows.

Previous paragraph was sent to you on Sunday; Monday, we had a good setup to short and we shorted comfortably because the market held below 2713; but today, situation was more complex, so let us explain you why we consider hedging at these levels will be harder:  

The market briefly broke below 2644.4 (Alt7link) and this was the only moment the market signaled that could break down, then developed a 1-2 to the upside (Alt7link1-2) and all what a short trade could have done there was to set stops at the top of the wave 1, 2660.7, everything else was “hope” and hope can not make you money. Waiting while a setup holds can, and certainly will, make money, “hoping” won’t. I told you this, so I can tell you that: If we are not going to respect initial line of resistance on this potential b wave higher, better is not to hedge and look for entries on calls.

For tomorrow, I don’t like where the market closed in terms of hourly stochastics (Alt7link), but I don’t plan to short the market, excepting it breaks below 2664 so we can set stops on these shorts just above 2671, additionally, I don’t plan to short if the market strikes 2664 on oversold hourly conditions, doing so could be a receipt for a mess.  

Resistance for tomorrow is sitting between 2695 and 2698. But hitting resistance does not mean we are going to short, five down followed by three up below resistance, would lead us to proceed that way.

Think we have defined parameters for tomorrow.

Moore’s 2C-P today was, 8.9, February correction was 7, so we are as oversold as you would expect. Interestingly El_Hombre, posted a chart, attached, finally some institutional buying on NYSE.

NYSE Institutional Buying

Also $AMZN support for tomorrow at 1524.

 

 


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